Groq employees: Don’t leave six figures on the table
Things are moving fast at Groq. The tech is cutting-edge. The valuation is climbing. The company raised $750 million and more than doubled its value in less than a year.
But when everything is moving this fast, it’s easy to lose track of something important: your equity.
We talk to a lot of startup employees, and here’s what we’ve seen: at high-growth companies like Groq, the real value of your options can slip through the cracks if you’re not paying close attention. And by the time you realize it, the cost to act may already be too high.
If you haven’t taken a close look at your equity, now’s a good time. Groq is still climbing and shaping up to be one of the most anticipated IPO candidates in the coming years. The decisions you make today could have a six- or even seven-figure impact.
Why timing matters for your Groq stock options
Groq is one of the more interesting companies in the AI infrastructure space right now. With its own LPU chip architecture, recent momentum in the secondary market, and a $750 million fundraise that brought its valuation to $6.9 billion, the company is growing quickly and drawing attention.
That kind of growth often leads to a higher 409A valuation. And that’s what impacts how much it costs.
When the FMV (Fair Market Value) increases:
- Exercising gets more expensive
- Potential tax bills get bigger
- Your long‑term strategy becomes more limited
Groq’s last publicly known Fair Market Value (FMV) is reported at $5.25, based on a 409A valuation from October 2024 sourced from Caplight. That number is still relatively low, especially compared to the company’s preferred price of $32.16.
But that valuation is now over a year old. Since then, Groq has continued to grow quickly and raise additional funding. In fast-moving situations where companies are continuously raising money, issuing a new 409A valuation often gets delayed. So while the updated FMV hasn’t been released yet, it’s possible that it will be significantly higher than $5.25.
That matters because of the spread, or the difference between your strike price and the FMV at the time you exercise. A larger spread means higher potential tax exposure.
What a higher FMV could look like
Imagine Groq raises another round at a $10 billion valuation.
That could cause your FMV to jump to $20 or more, tripling your spread and significantly increasing your potential tax exposure.
So, while you may not be able to exercise right now due to blackout windows during fundraising, it’s worth planning for what happens when you can.
(These are all speculations for illustrative purposes, of course)
But now let’s explore what scenarios might look like, comparing early exercise and waiting to do a cashless exercise at IPO.
Meet Jordan, a Groq employee
Let’s imagine Jordan, a Staff Engineer at Groq who joined in 2022.
- Salary: $250K
- 100,000 ISOs at a $3.17 strike
- Lives in California, married filing jointly
Key valuation numbers:
- 409A: $5.25/share (as of the last known valuation)
- Latest preferred price: $32.16/share
- Potential exit price: $80/share
So what happens if Jordan exercises now, compared to waiting?
Jordan has two possible paths for his Incentive Stock Options (ISOs):
| Exercise Now | Wait until the IPO |
|---|---|
Pay the strike price (and AMT) now | Do nothing now; cashless exercise later |
Hold the shares for 1 year after exercise (and 2 years after grant) | No holding period advantage |
Pay long-term capital gains (~15-20%) | Pay income taxes (~40%+) |
Potential outcome: $4,890,000 after taxes | Potential outcome: $3,700,000 after taxes |
The potential difference: $1,190,000
For this example, we’re assuming Jordan is able to sell his shares at $80 per share. That’s not a guaranteed IPO price, but we think it’s a fair illustrative estimate. It’s based on how some high-growth companies are priced relative to their last funding round, where Groq’s preferred price was $32.16 per share. The actual sale price could be higher or lower depending on future market conditions.
💡 Want to see how your numbers might look? You can sign up for Secfi’s tools and run your own personalized scenarios using your actual strike price, number of options, and estimated exit value.
You might be wondering…why do people miss this? People often think:
- “I don’t have the cash.”
- “I’ll just figure it out once we IPO.”
- “Taxes are complicated, I’ll just deal with it later.”
The issue is, by the time the IPO is announced or the next funding round hits, it may be too late to act. Rising FMVs, short blackout windows, and limited planning time can all make it harder to take control of your equity.
Key takeaways
- Early exercise may help reduce your future tax burden
- Long-term capital gains treatment could lead to better outcomes
- Waiting until IPO means more uncertainty around timing and taxes
And most importantly: know your options before your FMV changes
The cash problem and the solution
Exercising early can be expensive. But that’s where we come in. If you choose to work with us, Secfi may be able to help you:
✔ Exercise without tying up your personal savings
✔ Owe nothing if the stock value does not increase
✔ Reduce AMT surprises with a personalized strategy
What’s your next move?
Groq’s trajectory shows no signs of slowing. If the company goes public or raises another round, events may unfold faster than expected, and that window to act could close quickly.
Taking time now to understand your stock options, model different scenarios, and explore your choices can put you in a much better position when it matters.
Whether you’re considering exercising, preparing for future liquidity, or looking for financing options, Secfi is here to help you make a smart, informed plan, so you’re ready for whatever comes next.
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